Topic guides
Ten independent guides cover rules, records, backtests and how to examine prediction claims.
What is Shoot the Gate? Rules and terms
Start with boundary cards, the third card, goal, post and outside.
Shoot the Gate illustrated: comparing rule variants
Use the same 5 and 9 to compare strict, inclusive and Ace variants.
How to calculate Shoot the Gate probability
Count goal, post and outside outcomes in a standard deck without replacement.
What does AI prediction mean for Shoot the Gate?
Separate data preparation, statistical estimates, ML models and random displays.
Can AI predict Shoot the Gate outcomes?
Separate rule-based odds, observable bias and unobservable randomness.
How to read Shoot the Gate history
Records describe what happened; they do not automatically reveal the next round.
How to verify prediction-software accuracy
Start with denominators, date coverage, prespecified metrics and a complete log.
Why strong backtests can fail in practice
Overfitting, leakage, rule changes and repeated trials can inflate a backtest.
Common mistakes in Shoot the Gate pattern analysis
Watch for gambler’s fallacy, small samples, selective memory and multiple testing.
How to spot fake model results and prediction claims
Audit high hit rates, profit curves and “live AI” claims with an evidence checklist.